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The U.S. in the Middle
East: a Brief History
by
Martin Charwat
Talk
delivered at First Presbyterian Church
Poughkeepsie,
NY 12601
2/22/04
The
Countries:
Egypt,
Israel, Jordan, Syria, Lebanon, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait.
Not
included but important regional players: Turkey, Iran.
History
of the Region:
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Has
been called the “cradle of civilization.” Ancient empires in Egypt,
Babylon, Assyria, Mesopotamia, and Palestine, the land of the Bible.
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Home
of the 3 major monotheist religions – Judaism, Christianity, and Islam,
which surged out of the Arabian Peninsula in the 7th century.
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Witnessed
the Crusades, the Mongol Invasions, and for over 5 centuries was controlled
by the Ottoman Empire, headquartered in Turkey. |
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Until
20th century, the U.S. had little contact with the region. The
American University of Beirut was founded in Lebanon in 1866 as the Syrian
Protestant College to promote knowledge of Christianity. Biblical scholars
and archaeologists visited the region, but American political and economic
involvement was minimal until after World War I. |
Major
20th Century & Present Themes of American Involvement:
I
see 9 major themes:
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Anti-colonialism
and reducing the influence of European powers;
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Oil.
Access to oil supplies and control of shipping lanes;
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Support
for the creation and existence of Israel as a democratic state;
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Anti-communism
and building alliances with Middle Eastern states to oppose the spread of
communism and Soviet expansionism;
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Distrust
of Arab nationalism and opposition to the OPEC oil cartel;
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Preventing
the emergence of a regional power that could threaten U.S. interests;
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Demonizing
Saddam Hussein and quarantining Iraq;
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Recognizing
the danger of al-Qaeda and seeking allies against it;
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Accepting
the obligations of occupying Iraq and becoming a regional military power
with a permanent troop presence in the Middle East.
I
will touch very briefly on these 9 themes, after which I’ll be happy to try to
answer questions.
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Anti-colonialism
and reducing the influence of European powers
reflected U.S. policy following World War I. President Woodrow Wilson sought
to promote national self-determination and to limit the power of European
colonial powers. But this conflicted with the interests of Britain and
France, which wished to carve up the Ottoman Empire. After the War, Britain
solidified its hold on Egypt and Palestine, and created Iraq and Jordan,
putting monarchs on the thrones of those 2 countries. It kept its influence
in the Arabian Peninsula, which it had helped to free from the Turks. France
took over Syria and Lebanon under League of Nations mandates. The U.S.
accepted these arrangements, even though they meant that local regimes were
not created, and the European powers were dominant.
Our
anti-colonial rhetoric was not matched by concrete support for nationalist
movements.
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Oil.
Access to supplies has been a
constant U.S. policy in the Middle East since World War I and accelerated
during World War II. Before World War I, Britain secured access to oil
supplies in Persia and Kuwait, and afterwards in Iraq. Oil was vital to the
war effort. In the 1920’s although the U.S. was a major oil producer, it
realized the importance of access to Middle-Eastern oil. During World War
II, President Roosevelt met with King Saud of Saudi Arabia to improve U.S.
access to that Kingdom’s oil supplies. Saudi Arabia became pivotal to U.S.
oil policy and has remained so. Saudi Arabia has the world’s largest oil
reserves. Iraq is #2. As Britain withdrew its naval and land forces from the
Persian Gulf in the 1960’s the U.S. stepped in to provide naval protection
for shipping Persian Gulf oil. Under the costly umbrella of that protection,
U.S. oil companies profitably market a large percentage of the Middle
Eastern oil.
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Support
for the creation and existence of Israel as a democratic state.
Following World War II, during which some 6 million European Jews died in
the Holocaust, efforts accelerated by Palestine’s Jewish population to
create a Jewish state of Israel. While this was largely opposed by the U.S.
State Department and local and regional Arabs, President Truman supported
it, and the State of Israel was declared in 1948 with U.S. backing. Israel
defeated invading Arab armies, and in 1949 it reached armistice agreements
with most of its neighboring states. But in the process of its founding,
large numbers of Palestinian Arabs became refugees, whom the surrounding
Arab countries generally refused to accept as permanent residents or
citizens. Their status remains unresolved. The U.S. opposed Israel’s
keeping territory won in subsequent wars, but despite this opposition,
Israel held onto the Gaza Strip, the West Bank of the Jordan River, and the
Golan Heights, conquered from Syria. In 1979, with the help of President
Jimmy Carter, Israel and Egypt signed a peace treaty. In 1982, Israel
invaded Lebanon to pursue Palestinian forces there. U.S. criticism was
muted. A year later, with Lebanon in the midst of a civil war, the U.S. sent
troops there, only to have nearly 300 killed in the bombing of the Marine
Corps barracks – following which the U.S. withdrew its forces. While the
U.S. has largely backed Israel and supported it as the only democracy in the
Middle East, and President Clinton invested heavily in trying to broker a
peace between Israel and the Palestinians, there is no peace. Most Arab
countries perceive the U.S. as pro-Israel and equate Israel’s policies and
actions towards the Palestinians as being U.S. policy, too.
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Anti-communism
and building alliances with Middle Eastern states to oppose the spread of
communism and Soviet expansionism.
During the ‘50’s and ‘60’s the U.S. forged a series of alliances
with Middle Eastern states, principally Turkey, Iraq, Iran and Israel to
oppose the spread of Soviet influence in the area. We helped overthrow the
nationalist regime of Mohammed Mossadegh in Iran, on the grounds that it
threatened western oil interests and was becoming pro-communist. During the 1980’s following the Soviet invasion of
Afghanistan, the U.S. funded the training and arming of Arab
“mujahedeen” – Islamic fighters who fought the Soviets there. These
fighters, who came from Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and other Arab countries, were
quite effective. Following the end of the Afghan war, many of them returned
home with military skills, arms, and a burning anti-western ideology. What
started as a jihad, a holy war
against godless Communism would morph into a jihad
against the United States, pro-western governments, and moderate Muslims in
the Middle East.
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Distrust
of Arab nationalism and opposition to the OPEC cartel.
After World War II, Arab nationalism led to the independence of Syria and
Lebanon, and rioting against the British in Egypt. The creation of Israel
was a painful shock to Arab nationalists, who saw it as confirmation of Arab
weakness. Some viewed it as a punishment for not being sufficiently faithful
to Islam. In either case, this led to a re-examination of why the Arab
nations were now so weak. Nationalists such as Nasser of Egypt and Assad of
Syria promised a rebirth of Arab greatness. Nasser tweaked the west by
nationalizing the Suez Canal. The U.S. accommodated him but hoped for his
overthrow. Following the Arab-Israeli war of 1973, OPEC, the Organization of
Oil Exporting Countries, comprised largely of Middle Eastern states,
declared an oil embargo to punish the U.S. and European countries that had
supported Israel. The so-called “oil shock” that followed, led to a
quadrupling of oil prices and long lines at gas stations. The U.S., which
had viewed OPEC as a “paper tiger” realized its power and began publicly
to call for the development of alternative energy sources and to diversify
its sources of oil supply. Despite these expressed desires and much
political rhetoric, the U.S. has grown even more
dependent on Mid-East oil, which today accounts for over 50% of U.S. oil
imports. This figure is expected to increase over the decade.
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Preventing
the emergence of a regional power that could threaten U.S. interests. This explains U.S. involvement in the longest Middle-Eastern war
of the last century: the brutal battle between Iran and Iraq that began in
1980 and ended in a stalemate in 1988. The U.S. did not want either Iran or
Iraq to emerge as a dominant power in the Persian Gulf region, and we did
our best to prevent such an outcome. We supported Iraq throughout much of
the conflict with food, arms, and military intelligence that permitted it to
withstand the Iranian counterattack. The war killed nearly ¾ million
people, exhausted both Iraq and Iran, and was a proximate cause of Iraq’s
invasion of Kuwait in 1990, since Iraq was bankrupt and wanted Kuwait to
forgive Iraq loans which it had taken to fight the war. Kuwait refused, so
Iraq invaded. To prevent Iraq from becoming the dominant power in the Gulf,
controlling both its own oil and Kuwait’s and posing a danger to Saudi
Arabia, the U.S. demanded that Iraq withdraw from Kuwait. When it refused,
the U.S. assembled and led a coalition to oust it in 1991.
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Demonizing
Saddam Hussein and quarantining Iraq.
Following Iraq’s defeat by the U.S.-led coalition, the U.S. expected that
Saddam Hussein would be overthrown by his elite Republican Guard, which had
been bloodied in the war. We miscalculated. Those forces were purged, and
Saddam loyalists managed to crush revolts of the Shiites in the south and
the Kurds in the north, both of whom incorrectly thought they could count on
American support. The U.S. increased pressure on Saddam’s regime through a
series of ever tighter economic sanctions, the establishment of aerial
“no-fly” zones from which Iraqi aircraft were barred, and an effective
United Nations’ run weapons inspection system that destroyed the bulk of
Iraq’s missiles and much of its biological and chemical weapons
stockpiles.
Saddam
was described variously as a Hitler or a madman by U.S. spokespersons, based in
part on his use of chemical weapons against Iraqi Kurds. When U.N. weapons
inspectors were expelled from Iraq in 1998 after allegedly sharing information
with U.S. intelligence agencies, the U.S. bombed Iraq for several days. But
Saddam resisted the U.N.’s demands for renewed inspections. Following the
September 11, 2001 attack on the World Trade Center, the U.S. sought to link
Saddam to that attack and alleged that his regime possessed weapons of mass
destruction and was a threat to us and to his neighbors. After obtaining a U.N.
resolution authorizing force if Saddam did not submit to new, highly intrusive
inspections, the U.S. attacked Iraq in March, 2003 and defeated it. Months
later, Saddam was captured by U.S. forces and is now being held and
interrogated. Efforts to find Iraq’s weapons of mass destruction have yet to
locate significant numbers of them.
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Recognizing
the danger of al-Qaeda and seeking allies against it.
An Islamic terrorist group known as al-Qaeda, headed by Osama bin Laden, the
son of wealthy Saudi family, claimed responsibility for the terrorist
attacks against the United States that resulted in the destruction of the
Twin Towers in New York and the loss of almost 3,000 American lives on U.S.
territory on 9/11/01. Even before then al-Qaeda had attacked U.S. embassies
in Africa, and the navy ship, Cole, in Yemen. Al-Qaeda is an organization
formed in discrete cells, financed by contributions from Muslims throughout
the world, comprised of thousands of men (and probably some women) who
received military training in camps in Afghanistan and elsewhere, dedicated
to killing Americans and Jews and expelling the United States from the
Middle East, and overthrowing regimes that are viewed as our puppets,
corrupt, or insufficiently devoted to Islam.
The
9/11 attacks caught the U.S. by surprise. We quickly responded by articulating
what came to be known as the Bush doctrine: anyone whom we classified as an
international terrorist or who rendered aid or comfort to such persons or to
terrorist organizations henceforth would be viewed as an enemy of the United
States and subject to pre-emptive attack by us. Soon thereafter we attacked
Afghanistan, whose Taliban-led government had hosted al-Qaeda training camps.
With the help of local allies, we overthrew the Taliban and killed many of the
al-Qaeda forces there or drove them into exile. Under our tutelage, a new
government was installed in Kabul. Taliban and al Qaeda attacks continue. We
have also sought the help of friendly governments in the Middle East and
elsewhere to close off the sources of funding for terrorist groups and have
expanded intelligence sharing with other nations to apprehend al Qaeda and other
international terrorists, disrupt their networks, and abort planned attacks.
Little is known about the
effectiveness of these efforts, but to date there has not been another attack on
the magnitude of 9/11.
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Accepting
the obligations of occupying Iraq and becoming a military power with a
permanent troop presence in the Middle East
is the final theme. Although the conquest of Iraq went more smoothly than
most expected, its occupation has proved more difficult. Looting, widespread
street crime, armed opposition, and demands for quick elections all pose
challenges to the U.S. that were either inadequately anticipated or for
which sufficient trained personnel were not made available on a timely
basis. We expected to be treated as liberators. While most Iraqis are
grateful that we released them from Saddam’s terror, they do not want to
be occupied by us. This is especially true for the Sunnis, who enjoyed a
privileged status under Saddam, but also for the Shiites, who experienced
torture and discrimination at his hands. Only the Kurds seem somewhat
willing to accept a continuing U.S. role, since they view us as having
belatedly protected them from Saddam and the Turks, and gave the Kurds the
opportunity to develop a decent economy and meaningful political autonomy.
Both would be at risk in a strong unified Iraq or if Turkey were to send its
Army in to take over the Kurdish area of northern Iraq.
U.S.
forces are likely to remain in Iraq well beyond the announced June 30, 2004 date
for the turnover of sovereignty to Iraqi officials. What the role of U.S. troops
will be then is less clear. They will probably help Iraq’s fledgling army and
police cope with challenges and will also be available to U.S. planners as a
regional force that can be deployed as needed to neighboring countries, to act
against hostile regimes or al-Qaeda-like forces attacking those regimes. This
represents the first time that the U.S. will have such a large force
on-the-ground in the Middle East. How it will be received, whether as friend or foe, remains to
be seen.
Like
it or not, the U.S. seems committed to continuing its major military presence in
the Middle East. Why? Because 3 of the themes are still very much operative:
Oil, Israel, and al-Qaeda. All are likely to continue to pose major challenges
for U.S. policy-makers in the upcoming decades.
Now,
if any of you have questions or comments, I’d be happy to try to address them.
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